These early exit-poll numbers do not divine the name of the winner. Instead, regard these numbers as a sportswriter does the line scores from the fourth inning of a baseball game. The leading team might win the game, but then again it might not. But having the early data in front of him helps the sportswriter plot the story he thinks he’ll need to write at game’s end.
– Jack Shafer, Slate
November 2, 2004
That aside, Zogby says:
Zogby International’s 2004 Predictions
(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00 pm EST)
2004 Presidential Election
Electoral Votes:
Bush – 213
Kerry – 311
Too Close To Call
Nevada (5)
Too Close To Call
Colorado (9)